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US Elections: Global Spillover Effects

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In the fourth installment of our US elections series, we consider the consequences of changes in policy on economies and markets outside the United States. Given that a victory for any Democratic presidential candidate would typically mean a status quo in terms of policy settings, our analysis focuses largely on the implications of a second Trump presidency. Some countries will fare better than others in the latter scenario, and we tease out where the effects are most likely to be felt with a Trump White House.

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